Peer review statistics · 2026 edition

Peer review statistics: acceptance rates, rejections, review times, and what the evidence says

143 statistics on peer review, each quoted from its primary source and verified 12 September 2026 and 20 September 2026: acceptance rates, desk rejection, reasons for rejection, review times, reviewers, reliability, bias, retractions, reproducibility, AI. Cite freely.

Verified 2026-09-12 and 2026-09-20 · 49 top journals surveyed · primary sources only
Key takeaways

Fourteen numbers to quote.

Each line is a complete, citable statement. The bracketed number is the source in the reference list.
  1. 013.9% researchJAMA received 11,526 manuscripts in 2025 and accepted 10.4% overall and 3.9% of research manuscripts. [53]
  2. 02~5%NEJM receives more than 16,000 submissions a year and publishes about 5% of original research submissions. [52]
  3. 0317 of 49Of 49 top-ranked journals across general medicine and 38 specialties that we checked, only 17 publish an acceptance rate on their own site or in an annual editorial; 25 publish none and 7 block automated capture. [53][63][64][66][67][52][65]
  4. 0423% sent outJAMA sent only 23% of research manuscripts for external peer review in 2025. [53]
  5. 0513 weeksAuthors reported an average first-response time of 13 weeks, ranging from 8–9 weeks in medicine and public health to 16–18 weeks in economics, mathematics and the humanities. [5]
  6. 06100M+ hoursReviewers worldwide spent more than 100 million hours on peer review in 2020, the equivalent of more than 15,000 years. [7]
  7. 07kappa 0.17Across 48 studies and 19,443 manuscripts, agreement between reviewers is low: mean intraclass correlation 0.34 and mean Cohen's kappa 0.17. [15]
  8. 082.58 of 9BMJ reviewers found an average of 2.58 of nine major errors deliberately inserted into a test paper; training raised this only to about 3. [18]
  9. 0923% → 65%The same paper was rejected by 23% of reviewers when a Nobel laureate was the visible author, 48% when anonymized, and 65% when an unknown early-career author was shown. [28]
  10. 1066,901 recordsThe Retraction Watch Database held 66,901 retraction records on 12 September 2026; 13,226 are dated 2023, of which 9,673 are Hindawi titles, followed by 6,356 in 2024 and 5,905 in 2025. [34]
  11. 111 in 8Half of published psychology papers using null-hypothesis tests contained at least one p-value inconsistent with its test statistic, and one in eight contained a gross inconsistency that may have changed the conclusion. [41]
  12. 121 in 277An audit of 2.5 million PubMed Central papers found 4,046 fabricated references in 2,810 papers; by the first seven weeks of 2026, one paper in 277 contained at least one fabricated reference, up from one in 2,828 in 2023. [68]
  13. 1322.5% non-complianceIn a randomized experiment at ICML 2026, the LLM-use policy assigned to reviewers had near-zero effects on decisions and scores, and 22.5% of reviewers under a prohibition still reported using an LLM (preprint). [107]
  14. 1461% vs 0%Invisible white text in incoherent trial abstracts produced favourable LLM decisions 61% of the time versus 0% in controls; ChatGPT and Gemini were fooled 93% of the time, Claude never. [73]
Last verified 2026-09-20
Volume

How many papers are published each year, and how fast is it growing?

The pressure on peer review starts with volume. Crossref, the DOI registry used by nearly every scholarly publisher, holds records for more than twice as many journal articles published in 2025 as in 2015, and the count of indexed articles rose roughly 47% between 2016 and 2022 while the number of practicing scientists barely moved. Submissions grow faster than publications, and review invitations grow faster than either.[11][9][6]

6.6 million

Crossref lists 6,628,652 journal articles with a 2025 publication date, up from 3,342,205 for 2015. [11]

+47%

The number of articles indexed in Scopus and Web of Science was about 47% higher in 2022 than in 2016. [9]

4.10% / yr

Science's overall growth rate is 4.10% a year, a doubling time of 17.3 years. [10]

6.1% vs 2.6%

Since 2013, submissions have grown 6.1% a year while publications have grown 2.6% a year. [6]

9.8% vs 4.9%

Review invitations are growing 9.8% a year, twice as fast as accepted articles (4.9%). [6]

Acceptance rates

What percentage of submitted papers are accepted?

Averages and flagship journals are different worlds. The literature survey answers the first; the journals' own annual editorials answer the second.

Across all journals the average acceptance rate is somewhere around 35–40%, higher in biomedicine than in the social sciences.[1] At the top of medicine the number is an order of magnitude lower, and it is falling: JAMA Pediatrics' research acceptance rate dropped from 7% in 2024 to 5% in 2025 while submissions rose.[55] The JAMA Network journals are unusual in publishing these figures every year; most journals do not, which is why the table at the bottom of this page exists.

35–40%

The global average journal acceptance rate is around 35–40%, higher in biomedicine than in the social sciences. [1]

~5%

NEJM receives more than 16,000 submissions a year and publishes about 5% of original research submissions. [52]

3.9% research

JAMA received 11,526 manuscripts in 2025 and accepted 10.4% overall and 3.9% of research manuscripts. [53]

4% research

JAMA Internal Medicine accepted 12% of 4,178 manuscripts in 2025, and 4% of research manuscripts. [54]

9.9%

JAMA Network Open received 20,233 manuscripts in 2025 and accepted 9.9%. [62]

3.9–10%

Across nine JAMA Network journals, 2025 research acceptance rates ranged from 3.9% (JAMA) to 10% (JAMA Otolaryngology). [53][54][55][56][58][59][60][57][61]

12% / 17%

Gut accepted 12% of submissions in 2025; the British Journal of Sports Medicine accepted 17%. [63][64]

~10%

At PLOS Medicine, about 10% of initial submissions become published articles. [65]

10–28%

Elsevier journal pages that disclose a rate show Ophthalmology at 10%, Annals of Physical and Rehabilitation Medicine at 11%, the Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology at 20%, and Resuscitation at 28%. [66]

57%

At the Canadian Journal of Anesthesia, 57% of 213 submissions were accepted; Canadian submissions had the highest acceptance frequency (86%). [2]

22.6–73.4%

At AJR, rejection rates for the 18 countries with more than 50 submissions ranged from 22.6% to 73.4%. [3]

17 of 49

Of 49 top-ranked journals across general medicine and 38 specialties that we checked, only 17 publish an acceptance rate on their own site or in an annual editorial; 25 publish none and 7 block automated capture. [53][63][64][66][67][52][65]

JAMA Network journals, 2025 (from each journal's Year in Review editorial)
JournalManuscripts receivedAcceptance, overallAcceptance, researchFirst decision, no review (median days)First decision, with review (median days)Source
JAMA11,52610.4%3.9%2.125[53]
JAMA Network Open20,2339.9%—249[62]
JAMA Internal Medicine4,17812%4%135[54]
JAMA Pediatrics3,32510%5%344[55]
JAMA Surgery3,3219%5%1040[56]
JAMA Dermatology3,4137%7%336[57]
JAMA Cardiology2,7939%5%851[58]
JAMA Neurology3,2216%5%435[59]
JAMA Psychiatry2,7258%5%231[60]
JAMA Otolaryngology–Head & Neck Surgery1,73014%10%850[61]
Desk rejection

How many papers are rejected without peer review (desk rejection)?

Most manuscripts at selective journals never reach a reviewer. JAMA reports the share of research manuscripts it sends out for external review; in 2025 it was 23%, which means about three in four were decided by editors alone.[53] The decision is usually fast, but not always: a third of journals take more than two weeks to say no without review.[5]

23% sent out

JAMA sent only 23% of research manuscripts for external peer review in 2025. [53]

78% / 39%

JAMA Internal Medicine rejected 78% of the manuscripts it received in 2017 without review; the pre-review rejection rate at Parasites & Vectors was 39%. [4]

1–10 days

In 2025 the median time to a first decision without peer review at JAMA Network journals ranged from 1 day (JAMA Internal Medicine) to 10 days (JAMA Surgery). [53][54][55][56][58][59][60][57][61]

1/3 > 2 weeks

One-third of journals take more than two weeks to issue a desk rejection, and one-sixth take more than four weeks. [5]

What desk rejection screens for

Editors screening without review are checking fit, novelty, and whether the manuscript is complete enough to be worth a reviewer's hours. The reasons are documented and predictable; see desk rejection prevention for the patterns, and the next section for the evidence.

Reasons for rejection

Why are papers rejected?

Three independent analyses, three decades apart, converge on the same list: statistics, overinterpretation, methods, and novelty.
statistics #1

In a content analysis of 151 medical-education manuscripts, the top reasons for rejection were inappropriate or incomplete statistics, overinterpretation of results, and inappropriate or suboptimal instrumentation. [12][14]

85.7% methods

Reviewers found flaws in the methods of 85.7% of 42 manuscripts submitted to medical journals in Africa and Asia, and in the references of 69.0%. [13]

44–76%

Lack of new or useful knowledge was the most common reason for rejection at AJR, accounting for 44–76% of rejections in every country. [3]

top-10 list

Respiratory Care's editor ranked poor study design, inadequate description of the methods, and suboptimal reporting of results among the top reasons manuscripts are not published. [14]

44%

Only 44% of 19,123 conference abstracts were published as full papers within six years, according to the analysis summarised by Pierson. [14]

design & originality

At the Canadian Journal of Anesthesia, the relationship between design, results and conclusions, and originality, drove decisions; presentation issues were rarely cited. [2]

Reviewers' reasons, ranked (Bordage 2001, 151 manuscripts)
  1. Inappropriate or incomplete statistics
  2. Overinterpretation of results
  3. Inappropriate or suboptimal instrumentation
  4. Sample too small or biased
  5. Text difficult to follow
  6. Insufficient problem statement
  7. Inaccurate or inconsistent data reported
  8. Incomplete, inaccurate, or outdated review of the literature
  9. Insufficient data presented
  10. Defective tables or figures
Sources [12][14]
Editor's reasons, ranked (Pierson 2004, Respiratory Care)
  1. Failure to write and submit a full manuscript after presenting the abstract
  2. Failure to revise and resubmit following peer review
  3. Poor study design
  4. Inadequate description of the methods
  5. Suboptimal reporting of the results
  6. Getting carried away in the discussion
  7. Poor writing
  8. Not following the manuscript preparation instructions
  9. Submitting a manuscript in a format that does not match what the journal publishes
  10. Picking the wrong journal
Source [14]
Timelines

How long does peer review take?

Two clocks run in parallel. The reviewer's clock is short: a median of 16.4 days from accepting an invitation to returning the report, and a median of five hours of actual work.[6] The author's clock is long, because finding reviewers takes more invitations every year and manuscripts wait between steps. Authors reporting their experience to SciRev waited an average of 13 weeks for a first decision, and a tenth waited more than six months.[5]

13 weeks

Authors reported an average first-response time of 13 weeks, ranging from 8–9 weeks in medicine and public health to 16–18 weeks in economics, mathematics and the humanities. [5]

32% ≥ 3 months

About one-third of authors (32%) waited three months or more for a first decision, and 10% waited more than six months; rejected manuscripts took four weeks longer. [5]

16.4 days

Reviewers take a median of 16.4 days to complete a review after accepting the invitation (mean 19.1 days). [6]

2.4 invitations

Editors needed 2.4 review invitations to get one completed review in 2017, up from 1.9 in 2013. [6]

25–51 days

JAMA's median time to a first decision with peer review was 25 days in 2025; JAMA Cardiology's was 51 days. [53][58][61][62][55][56][57][54][59][60]

122 days

At JAMA Internal Medicine the median time from receipt to publication was 122 days in 2025. [54]

1–126 days

Elsevier's published timelines range from 1 day to a first decision at The Lancet Infectious Diseases to 126 days to a post-review decision at The Lancet Digital Health. [66]

Workload

How much work is peer review, and who does it?

Peer review is unpaid labor at a scale that is easy to miss because it is spread across millions of people. Two independent estimates put the annual total in the tens of millions to more than a hundred million hours, and both find the load concentrated on a small fraction of researchers.[7][8] The geography is skewed too: the regions that produce a growing share of papers do a shrinking share of the reviewing.[6]

100M+ hours

Reviewers worldwide spent more than 100 million hours on peer review in 2020, the equivalent of more than 15,000 years. [7]

$1.5B (US)

The unpaid reviewing time of US-based reviewers was worth over $1.5 billion in 2020; China-based reviewers over $600 million; UK-based close to $400 million. [7]

63.4M hours

An estimated 63.4 million hours went into biomedical peer review in 2015, and 20% of researchers performed 69–94% of the reviews. [8]

70% ≤ 1%

Among contributing researchers, 70% spent 1% or less of their research time on peer review, while 5% spent 13% or more. [8]

10% do 50%

On Publons, about 10% of reviewers are responsible for about 50% of peer review records. [6]

75% of editors

75% of journal editors say finding reviewers and getting them to accept invitations is the hardest part of their job. [6]

32.9% vs 25.4%

The USA contributes 32.9% of reviews but 25.4% of articles; China contributes 8.8% of reviews but 13.8% of articles. [6]

96.1% of editors

Emerging regions produced 29.3% of Web of Science articles but performed 18.9% of ScholarOne reviews (2013–2017), and 96.1% of editors are from established regions. [6]

5 hours

A reviewer spends a median of 5 hours writing each review; after desk rejections, submissions average 2.7 reviews each. [6]

70.6% too busy

The most common reasons reviewers decline: too busy with their own research (70.6%) and the article being outside their expertise (42%). [6]

42.2% → 49.8%

Offering reviewers $250 raised the share of invitations that produced a completed review from 42.2% to 49.8% at Critical Care Medicine, cut review time by about a day, and did not change review quality. [82]

Reliability

How reliable is peer review? Do reviewers agree?

When two reviewers read the same manuscript, their recommendations agree only slightly better than chance. That is the consistent finding of the meta-analysis and of single-journal audits, and it explains why the same paper can be rejected at one journal and accepted at the next. Editors, for their part, follow unanimous reviewers and use judgment when reviewers split.[15][16]

kappa 0.17

Across 48 studies and 19,443 manuscripts, agreement between reviewers is low: mean intraclass correlation 0.34 and mean Cohen's kappa 0.17. [15]

kappa 0.11

At the Journal of General Internal Medicine, chance-corrected agreement between reviewers on rejection was kappa 0.11 across 5,881 reviews of 2,264 manuscripts. [16]

88% vs 20%

Editors rejected 88% of manuscripts when all reviewers agreed on rejection (7% of manuscripts) and 20% when all reviewers agreed the manuscript should not be rejected. [16]

8 of 9 rejected

When 12 already-published articles were resubmitted to the journals that had published them, only 3 of 38 editors and reviewers noticed, and 8 of the 9 that went through review were rejected. [17]

74.8% discordant

Across 16,006 manuscripts at one journal, reviewers disagreed with each other in the first round 74.8% of the time for papers later published and 85.8% for papers rejected; 6.3% of published papers had a majority recommendation to reject in the final round. [89]

Error detection

How often do reviewers miss errors?

The cleanest evidence comes from trials that inserted known errors into test manuscripts and counted how many reviewers found them.
2.58 of 9

BMJ reviewers found an average of 2.58 of nine major errors deliberately inserted into a test paper; training raised this only to about 3. [18]

17.3% vs 39.1%

Reviewers who recommended accepting a fictitious manuscript identified 17.3% of its major errors; those who recommended rejection identified 39.1%. [20]

mean 2

In a randomized trial at the BMJ, reviewers commented on a mean of two weaknesses in a paper containing deliberately inserted weaknesses, regardless of blinding or signing. [19]

23% always

Only 23% of 107 leading biomedical journals use specialist statistical review for all articles; 34% rarely or never do, little changed since 1998. [42]

SMD 0.58

Adding a statistical reviewer improved the quality of the final manuscript (standardized mean difference 0.58). [24]

276 words

First-round review reports on oncology trials had a median length of 276 words; 19% were constructive, 25% commented on the adequacy of conclusions, 9% on applicability and 7% on open research practices. [80]

Why this matters for authors

Reviewers find roughly a quarter to a third of major methodological errors, and journals rarely add a statistician. Errors that survive review are the ones that later drive corrections, retractions and failed replications. Checking a manuscript against the relevant reporting checklist before submission is the one intervention with consistent evidence behind it.[18][42][23]

Effectiveness

Does peer review actually improve papers?

Yes, measurably, and less than its reputation suggests. The best before-and-after study found improvement on almost every quality item, but the size of the improvement was modest; the systematic reviews conclude that the effects of editorial peer review remain largely untested.[21][22]

+7.3 points

At Annals of Internal Medicine, 33 of 34 manuscript-quality items improved after peer review and editing; the share of items scored 3 or more rose by 7.3 percentage points from a 75% baseline. [21]

19 of 135

A 2002 systematic review found editorial peer review "largely untested and its effects are uncertain"; only 19 of 135 identified studies met its criteria. [22]

no clear-cut evidence

The Cochrane review found no clear-cut evidence that concealing reviewer or author identity affects quality (9 studies), some evidence for checklists (2), and no evidence that reviewer training helps (1). [23]

OR 0.56

Open peer review slightly improved the quality of review reports (SMD 0.14) and lowered the odds of rejection (OR 0.56) across randomized trials. [24]

+0.5 RQI

An 18-week peer-review course for doctoral students raised the editor-judged quality of their reports by a median of 0.5 points on the Review Quality Instrument. [90]

Researcher attitudes

What do researchers think of peer review?

Researchers are more satisfied with peer review than the reliability data would predict, and satisfaction has risen over a decade of surveys. They also draw a sharp line around what counts: assessment by at least two researchers is peer review; a look from one editor is not.[26][25]

9 in 10

Nine out of ten authors believe peer review improved the last paper they published, in a 2009 survey of more than 4,000 researchers. [25]

69% → 75%

Researcher satisfaction with peer review rose from 69% in 2009 to 75% in 2019. [26]

90%

90% of researchers surveyed in 2019 (91% in 2009) said peer review improves the quality of published research, and 85% said there would be no control in scientific communication without it. [26]

37% had doubts

62% of researchers found the majority of research they encountered trustworthy, but 37% had doubts about at least some research outputs they had seen in the previous week. [26]

87%

87% of researchers count assessment by at least two researchers as peer review; only 27% count evaluation by two editorial board members, and 12% a single editor. [26]

98%

98% of surveyed reviewers consider peer review important or extremely important, and 84.8% think institutions should explicitly recognize reviewing. [6]

Bias

Is peer review biased?

Randomized experiments, not anecdotes: the same manuscript with different author names, or the same trial with a positive versus a null result.
1.63× / 2.10×

Single-blind reviewers were 1.63 times more likely to recommend papers from famous authors, 1.58 times for top universities, and 2.10 times for top companies, and bid for 22% fewer papers. [27]

23% → 65%

The same paper was rejected by 23% of reviewers when a Nobel laureate was the visible author, 48% when anonymized, and 65% when an unknown early-career author was shown. [28]

RR 1.81 → 1.41

Under open review, 40.8% of US abstracts and 22.6% of non-US abstracts were accepted at the American Heart Association meeting; blinding narrowed the gap to 33.4% versus 23.7%. [29]

97.3% vs 80.0%

Reviewers recommended a fabricated trial for publication 97.3% of the time when its result was positive and 80.0% when it showed no difference, and found more errors in the no-difference version, though the methods were identical. [30]

38% vs 14%

38% of reviews pair an editor and a reviewer from the same region, against 14% expected if reviewers were chosen in proportion to regional reviewing. [6]

Retractions and misconduct

How common are retractions, and what causes them?

Retractions are rare relative to output and rising in absolute terms. The 2023 spike is dominated by one publisher's mass retractions; 2024 and 2025 settled at roughly six thousand a year in the Retraction Watch Database, which we counted directly from the Crossref-hosted CSV.[33][34] Most retractions are attributed to misconduct rather than honest error, and a documented new source of unreliable papers is fabricated references produced by language models.[31][35]

67.4% misconduct

Of 2,047 retracted biomedical articles, 67.4% were attributable to misconduct (fraud or suspected fraud 43.4%, duplicate publication 14.2%, plagiarism 9.8%) and 21.3% to error. [31]

~10-fold

The share of articles retracted for fraud rose about 10-fold between 1975 and 2012. [31]

1.97%

About 2% of scientists admit to having fabricated, falsified or modified data at least once; up to 33.7% admit other questionable research practices. [32]

10,000+

Retractions of research articles passed 10,000 in 2023, an annual record. [33]

66,901 records

The Retraction Watch Database held 66,901 retraction records on 12 September 2026; 13,226 are dated 2023, of which 9,673 are Hindawi titles, followed by 6,356 in 2024 and 5,905 in 2025. [34]

55% / 18%

55% of the references ChatGPT-3.5 generated for literature reviews were fabricated, versus 18% for GPT-4; 43% and 24% of the real ones contained substantive errors. [35]

Retractions per year in the Retraction Watch Database (RetractionNature = Retraction; CSV downloaded 12 September 2026)
Retraction yearRetraction recordsNote
20151,545
20161,683
20171,712
20182,534
20192,907
20203,080
20213,908
20225,591
202313,2269,673 from Hindawi titles
20246,356
20255,905
Source [34] · 66,901 retraction records in total
Reproducibility

How reproducible are published findings?

36%

Only 36% of 100 replications of psychology studies produced statistically significant results, and 47% of original effect sizes fell within the replication's 95% confidence interval. [36]

85% smaller

In 50 replicated preclinical cancer experiments, the median replication effect size was 85% smaller than the original, and 92% of replication effects were smaller than the original. [37]

Reporting quality

How complete are published reports, and how common are statistical and reference errors?

The problems peer review is supposed to catch are common in the published record: interventions described too thinly to replicate, primary outcomes that changed between registration and publication, p-values that do not match their test statistics, and quotations that do not say what the citing paper claims.[38][39][41][43] The one bright spot is reporting guidelines: journals that endorse CONSORT publish more complete trial reports.[40]

40–89%

Poor description of interventions made 40–89% of published trial reports non-replicable, and most studies had at least one primary outcome changed, introduced or omitted. [38]

31%

Only 45.5% of 323 published trials were adequately registered, and 31% of those showed discrepancies between registered and published primary outcomes; 82.6% of assessable discrepancies favored statistically significant results. [39]

69 of 81

Across 50 evaluations of 16,604 randomized trials, 69 of 81 meta-analyses favored journals that endorse CONSORT for completeness of reporting. [40]

1 in 8

Half of published psychology papers using null-hypothesis tests contained at least one p-value inconsistent with its test statistic, and one in eight contained a gross inconsistency that may have changed the conclusion. [41]

generally low

"Standards in the use of statistics in medical research are generally low," with persistent errors reported across most medical journals. [44]

25.4%

A meta-analysis of 28 studies found 25.4% of quotations in medical journal articles were inaccurate: 11.9% major and 11.5% minor errors. [43]

1 in 277

An audit of 2.5 million PubMed Central papers found 4,046 fabricated references in 2,810 papers; by the first seven weeks of 2026, one paper in 277 contained at least one fabricated reference, up from one in 2,828 in 2023. [68]

12× in 3 years

The fabrication rate rose more than 12-fold, from about four per 10,000 papers in 2023 to 56.9 per 10,000 in early 2026, and review articles had a 57% higher rate than other paper types. [68]

98.4% no action

98.4% of the 2,810 papers found to contain fabricated references had received no publisher action at the time of the audit. [68]

2.27× in preprints

Fabricated references were more than twice as common in medRxiv preprints (37.2 per 10,000) as in peer-reviewed PubMed Central articles (16.4 per 10,000). [70]

12 carried into journals

Of 104 medRxiv preprints with fabricated references, 12 were later published in peer-reviewed journals with the fabricated references intact. [70]

28.3% fabricated

Under zero-shot, retrieval-disabled conditions, 55.0% of 300 neurocritical-care references generated by three LLMs contained an inaccuracy and 28.3% were completely fabricated; Grok-4 fabricated 50%, GPT-5.3 27% and DeepSeek-V3 8%. [93]

64.6% → 98.6%

With live web search switched on, citation integrity rose from 96.8% to 100% for GPT-5 Thinking and from 64.6% to 98.6% for Gemini 2.5 Pro on orthopaedic guideline questions. [84]

3,150 references

Across 3,150 references generated by three chatbots on rotator-cuff topics, ChatGPT had the lowest reference-hallucination score and Perplexity the highest. [75]

0 of 8,064

A nursing journal that screened all 8,064 verifiable references in its 2025–2026 articles found no fabricated citations, in contrast to the wider literature. [85]

misconduct

The Lancet's editors wrote that under the NIH definition of fabrication there is no debate that a fabricated reference represents research misconduct. [69]

three conditions

Hallucinated citations may qualify as research misconduct under US federal regulations when they are produced by a generative-AI tool, function as data, and were not checked for accuracy. [94]

reference screening

Publishers have begun building language-model tools to screen the references of submitted manuscripts, in the way plagiarism software screens text. [69]

AI and peer review

How is AI changing peer review?

Language models are already inside the review process, mostly undeclared. Detectors classify about a fifth of ICLR reviews and an eighth of Nature Communications reviews in 2025 as AI-generated, and in a randomized experiment at ICML 2026 more than a fifth of reviewers assigned a strict prohibition reported using an LLM anyway.[45][106][107] The head-to-head studies cut both ways: on Nature-family papers an AI reviewing agent out-scored each paper's best human reviewer on criticism quality, while at an orthopaedic journal three frontier models matched desk decisions at chance level and none spotted plagiarism.[108][78] The consistent pattern is strength on checkable, rule-based tasks and weakness on judgment, with a lean toward leniency. Two further sections below cover how easily AI reviewers can be manipulated and what journals and funders now allow.[72][91][47] The full evidence review is on AI in peer review: what the evidence shows.

6.5–16.9%

Between 6.5% and 16.9% of the text submitted as peer reviews to four AI conferences could have been substantially modified by large language models. [45]

30.85% vs 28.58%

GPT-4's feedback overlapped with human reviewers' points 30.85% of the time for Nature-family papers and 39.23% for ICLR, comparable to overlap between two human reviewers (28.58% and 35.25%). [46]

57.4%

57.4% of researchers who tried LLM-generated feedback found it helpful or very helpful, and 82.4% found it more beneficial than feedback from at least some human reviewers. [46]

prohibited

NIH prohibits its peer reviewers from using generative AI to analyze or formulate critiques of grant applications (notice issued 23 June 2023). [47]

20% / 12%

About 20% of ICLR reviews and 12% of Nature Communications reviews in 2025 were classified as AI-generated by a detector trained on historical reviews (preprint). [106]

22.5% non-compliance

In a randomized experiment at ICML 2026, the LLM-use policy assigned to reviewers had near-zero effects on decisions and scores, and 22.5% of reviewers under a prohibition still reported using an LLM (preprint). [107]

60.0% vs 48.2%

Rated by 45 domain scientists on 82 Nature-family papers, a GPT-5.2 reviewing agent scored above each paper's top-rated human reviewer (60.0% vs 48.2%), but AI reviewers overlapped with each other far more than humans did (21% vs 3%) (preprint). [108]

gameable by rewriting

AI review scores can be raised simply by having a language model rewrite the paper, and AI reviewers show a 'hivemind' of excessive agreement (preprint). [109]

overly positive

Evaluated on ICLR 2026 and Nature Communications submissions, current LLMs generate detailed reviews but show overly positive recommendations, generic criticism and uneven evidence grounding (preprint). [110]

44.9% → 84.9%

An author-facing LLM system covered 44.9% of the issues historical reviewers had raised on ICLR 2026 papers with a single pass, and up to 84.9% with deduplication and refill at 5.2 times the tokens (preprint). [111]

398 reports

Comparing 398 human reports on 119 BMJ Open articles with ChatGPT reviews, human reviewers addressed interpretation, originality and applicability, while AI reviews covered more sections but focused on routine or structural elements. [71]

67.5% vs 71.9%

In a blinded cardiology-journal study, LLM reviews agreed with the final editorial decision 67.5% of the time versus 71.9% for the human consensus; AI correctly recommended rejection for 60% of rejected manuscripts, humans for 56%. [87]

PPV 90.5%

At a sports-medicine journal a local LLM recommended revision for 61.1% of manuscripts, 72.7% of which were ultimately rejected or cascaded; when it recommended rejection or cascade, 90.5% received that decision. [81]

κ ≤ 0.15

Three frontier LLMs matched an orthopaedic journal's desk-review decisions 59–63% of the time with near-zero kappa, systematically over-rejected accepted manuscripts, and none identified plagiarism or dual submission. [78]

surface vs substance

The same LLMs wrote decision letters rated higher than the journal's own (Claude 4.46 vs 4.01 on a 5-point scale), a dissociation the authors describe as reproducing the surface features of peer review rather than its reasoning. [78]

0% reject

Across 720 simulated radiology reviews by eight LLMs, no model ever recommended rejection, and prompt strictness shifted the severity of decisions. [77]

73% vs 2%

Human reviewers rejected 73.33% of 300 ophthalmology manuscripts; ChatGPT and Gemini rejected 2.00% each and omitted line numbers and references. [100]

95–98% accept

ChatGPT accepted 95–98% of hand-surgery manuscripts that a higher-impact journal had rejected, yet its reviews scored higher on a review-quality instrument than the human reviews. [101]

rule-based 100%

In risk-of-bias assessment of orthopaedic trials, two AI models agreed with each other 91% of the time but deviated from the expert in 30–38.5% of interpretive domains, while matching perfectly on rule-based items. [72]

more lenient

On 763 biotechnology preprints and 12 grant proposals, AI reviewers were more lenient than humans and AI detectors could not reliably identify AI-written review text. [105]

0.35 exact match

Five open-source LLMs placed transplantation papers in the correct journal quartile 35% of the time at best and showed no affiliation bias. [97]

99.3% method choice

Constrained by a rule-based prompt, an LLM chose the right statistical test for 99.3% of 148 items and reproduced chi-square values in 94.8% of tests, but anchored on authors' reported values. [91]

79% vs 45%

Giving an LLM the structured PRISMA 2020 checklist raised adherence-checking accuracy to 78.7–79.7% from 45.2% with the manuscript alone; the best model reached 95.1% sensitivity but 49.3% specificity. [79]

68% men unprompted

Asked to name expert reviewers without a diversity prompt, GPT-4o returned 68% men and 95.3% scientists from high-income countries; with the prompt, 51% women and 42.3% from high-income countries. [98]

Where PeerReviewAI sits in this

PeerReviewAI is built for authors, not reviewers: a pre-submission review of your own manuscript, with every reference checked against PubMed and Crossref and the reporting checklist audited item by item, so the errors in the sections above are found before an editor sees them. It never issues an accept or reject verdict. See the full sample review.

Manipulation

Can AI reviewers be manipulated?

Three 2026 experiments on hidden text and hidden nudges in manuscripts.

Yes, and easily, at least for the models tested. Hidden nudges flipped four commercial models' recommendations most of the time, invisible white-text instructions turned incoherent abstracts into favourable decisions for two of four models, and a language model rewriting a paper can raise the scores AI reviewers give it. The countermeasures are also documented: one model resisted every injection, early-2026 frontier models penalised injected text, and OCR preprocessing removed the effect entirely.[88][73][92][109]

84.4% flipped

Hidden nudges inserted into manuscripts flipped the recommendation of four commercial AI models 84.4% of the time, and warning the models about nudges barely helped (76.8%). [88]

61% vs 0%

Invisible white text in incoherent trial abstracts produced favourable LLM decisions 61% of the time versus 0% in controls; ChatGPT and Gemini were fooled 93% of the time, Claude never. [73]

OCR removes it

Invisible text injection inflated older models' quality scores by 0.82 points, while early-2026 frontier models penalised it, and OCR preprocessing removed the effect entirely. [92]

Policies

What do journals and funders allow, and what do they require?

Journal policy surveys, an editors' consensus, and the funder ban, from the sources themselves.

Most top medical journals now say something about AI in peer review, and most of what they say is a prohibition grounded in confidentiality. Author-side policies are near universal but shallow: disclosure is required almost everywhere, yet fewer than half of leading orthopaedic journals address AI-generated references or peer review, and across 5.2 million papers only about 0.1% disclosed AI use at all.[102][96][86][47] The rules that recur in every source: a human is accountable, nothing confidential goes into a third-party tool, and AI must not write the review or make the decision.[76][83][95]

78 of 100

Of the top 100 medical journals, 78 give guidance on AI in peer review; 59% of those prohibit it outright, 91% prohibit uploading manuscript content to AI, and 96% cite confidentiality as the reason. [102]

0.1% disclose

Across 5,114 journals and 5.2 million papers, 70% of journals had AI policies, AI-assisted writing rose regardless, and only about 0.1% of papers since 2023 disclosed AI use. [86]

45% cover peer review

Among 32 leading orthopaedic and biomedical journals, 91% had an AI policy for authors and 97% of those required disclosure, but only 45% addressed peer review and 48% AI-generated references. [96]

94%

94 of the top 100 orthopaedics and sports-medicine journals reference AI in their policies, all prohibiting AI authorship and requiring disclosure; only 1% reference an AI-specific reporting guideline. [103]

72%

18 of 25 vascular-surgery journals had explicit generative-AI policies; 76% required disclosure but only 56% said where. [104]

53 editors

A Delphi consensus of 53 anaesthesia and pain-medicine editors-in-chief holds that LLMs must not generate data, references, conclusions or manuscripts, nor be used for editorial decisions or peer-review reports. [76]

JAMA Network

JAMA and the JAMA Network journals extended their AI policy to peer reviewers in 2023, with reminders of the confidential nature of submitted manuscripts. [99]

accountability

Academic Medicine's editors: an AI tool cannot assume professional accountability, and peer reviewers, like authors, must be human. [83]

review sheets too

Reviewers should not upload the manuscript or even their own review sheets to AI tools, because deletion cannot be verified; authors are usually permitted to upload their own manuscripts for language editing. [95]

189 studies

A scoping review of 189 studies found current AI systems lack the domain reasoning and ethical judgment for autonomous evaluation, with confidentiality breaches from third-party tools a key risk. [74]

permission required

ICMJE: reviewers must ask the journal's permission before using AI to help with a review, and confidentiality may prohibit uploading the manuscript to any AI technology where confidentiality cannot be assured. [112]

disclose at submission

ICMJE: journals should require authors to disclose AI-assisted technologies at submission; chatbots cannot be authors; humans are responsible for the submitted material and must check AI output. [112]

should not be used

COPE Forum advice, updated March 2026: AI-generated reviewer comments should not be used, reviewers should not upload manuscripts to AI tools, and the reviewer stays accountable for any AI suggestion included in a report. [113]

>80% AI content

In the COPE case behind that advice, editors measured AI-content rates above 80% in suspect reviews that raised problems the manuscript did not contain. [113]

authors responsible

COPE's position: AI tools cannot be authors because they cannot take responsibility; authors must disclose how and which tool was used and are fully responsible for the content. [114]

Flows, models and history

Where do manuscripts go, and where did peer review come from?

~75%

About 75% of published articles were submitted first to the journal that published them; high-impact journals published proportionally more resubmissions. [48]

22 definitions

The literature contains 22 distinct configurations of "open peer review" across 122 published definitions. [49]

1940s

Editorial peer review became institutionalized only in the 20th century; Rennie dates its true institutionalization to the 1940s, and the Royal Society of Edinburgh's Medical Essays and Observations of 1731 is an early example. [50][51]

Journal survey

Acceptance rates at the top journal in each medical field (2025–2026)

Field by field: the highest-ranked journal that names the field, what it publishes about its own selectivity, and where it publishes it. Captured 12 September 2026.

We took the Scimago Journal Rank (2024 edition), selected in each medicine category the highest-ranked journal whose title names the field, excluding review-only titles, supplements and bulletins, applied a clinician's overrides where the ranking produced a mismatch, and then looked for a published acceptance rate on each journal's own site or in its annual editorial. The result: only 17 of 49 publish one. Elsevier's Journal Insights pages publish decision timelines for most titles and an acceptance rate for a few; BMJ journals publish both; the JAMA Network publishes everything; Wiley, Nature Portfolio and several society sites publish nothing we could capture.

FieldJournalPublisherStated acceptance ratePublished decision timesNote
General medicineNew England Journal of MedicineMassachusetts Medical Societyabout 5% of original research—"more than 16,000 research and other submissions" a year
General medicineJAMA source ↗American Medical Association10.4% overall; 3.9% research (2025)2.1 d without review; 25 d with review11,526 received; 23% of research sent for external review
General medicineThe LancetElsevierNot published8 d to first decision; 35 d after review
General medicineNature MedicineNature PortfolioNot published—journal-metrics page linked from the site returned 'page not found'
General medicineJAMA Internal Medicine source ↗American Medical Association12% overall; 4% research (2025)1 d without review; 35 d with review4,178 received
General medicinePLOS MedicinePLOSabout 10% of initial submissions—
General medicineAnnals of Internal MedicineAmerican College of PhysiciansNot fetchable—site blocks automated capture
General medicineBMJBMJNot fetchable—site blocks automated capture
General medicineBMC MedicineSpringer NatureNot published3 d to first decision (2025)
General medicineMayo Clinic ProceedingsElsevierNot published14 d to first decision; 65 d after review
General medicineJAMA Network Open source ↗American Medical Association9.9% (2025)2 d without review; 49 d with review20,233 received
AnesthesiologyAnaesthesiaWileyNot fetchable—publisher site blocks automated capture
CardiologyJAMA Cardiology source ↗American Medical Association9% overall; 5% research (2025)8 d without review; 51 d with review2,793 received; JACC (highest SJR) not capturable: jacc.org blocked
Critical careIntensive Care MedicineSpringer NatureNot published—AJRCCM (highest SJR) page lists no acceptance rate
DermatologyJAMA Dermatology source ↗American Medical Association7% overall; 7% research (2025)3 d without review; 36 d with review3,413 received
Emergency medicineResuscitationElsevier28%4 d to first decision; 25 d after review
Endocrinology & diabetesThe Lancet Diabetes & EndocrinologyElsevierNot published22 d to first decision; 32 d after review
EpidemiologyEuropean Journal of EpidemiologySpringer NatureNot published8 d to first decision (2025)
Family practiceBritish Journal of General PracticeRCGPNot fetchable—about page not found
GastroenterologyGutBMJ12% (2025)3 d without review; 23 d with review
Genetics (clinical)Genome MedicineSpringer NatureNot published11 d to first decision (2025)
GeriatricsNature AgingNature PortfolioNot published—journal-metrics page returned 'page not found'
Health informaticsThe Lancet Digital HealthElsevierNot published5 d to first decision; 126 d after review
Health policyHealth AffairsProject HOPENot fetchable—bot-verification wall
HematologyJournal of Hematology & OncologySpringer NatureNot published8 d to first decision (2025)
HepatologyJournal of HepatologyElsevierNot published5 d to first decision; 35 d after review
Immunology & allergyJournal of Allergy and Clinical ImmunologyElsevier20%3 d to first decision; 41 d after review
Infectious diseasesThe Lancet Infectious DiseasesElsevierNot published1 d to first decision; 19 d after review
Microbiology (medical)Clinical Microbiology and InfectionElsevierNot published—
NephrologyKidney InternationalElsevierNot published—
NeurologyThe Lancet NeurologyElsevierNot published5 d to first decision; 39 d after reviewJAMA Neurology (alternate): 6% overall, 5% research in 2025
Obstetrics & gynecologyAmerican Journal of Obstetrics and GynecologyElsevierNot published12 d to first decision; 49 d after review
OncologyAnnals of OncologyElsevierNot published3 d to first decision; 45 d to acceptance
OphthalmologyOphthalmologyElsevier (AAO)10%4 d to first decision; 34 d after review
Orthopedics & sports medicineBritish Journal of Sports MedicineBMJ17% (2025)48 d with review
OtorhinolaryngologyJAMA Otolaryngology–Head & Neck Surgery source ↗American Medical Association14% overall; 10% research (2025)8 d without review; 50 d with review1,730 received
PathologyModern PathologyElsevier (USCAP)Not published4 d to first decision; 29 d after review
PediatricsJAMA Pediatrics source ↗American Medical Association10% overall; 5% research (2025)3 d without review; 44 d with review3,325 received; research rate down from 7% in 2024
Pharmacology (clinical)Clinical Pharmacology & TherapeuticsWileyNot fetchable—publisher site blocks automated capture
PsychiatryJAMA Psychiatry source ↗American Medical Association8% overall; 5% research (2025)2 d without review; 31 d with review2,725 received; The Lancet Psychiatry (Elsevier) publishes no rate
Public healthThe Lancet Public HealthElsevierNot published3 d to first decision; 49 d after review
Pulmonary medicineThe Lancet Respiratory MedicineElsevierNot published4 d to first decision; 37 d after review
RadiologyRadiologyRSNANot fetchable—site blocks automated capture
RehabilitationAnnals of Physical and Rehabilitation MedicineElsevier11%3 d to first decision; 49 d after review
Reproductive medicineHuman ReproductionOxford University PressNot published—
RheumatologyAnnals of the Rheumatic DiseasesElsevierNot published81 d to acceptance
SurgeryJAMA Surgery source ↗American Medical Association9% overall; 5% research; 4% original investigations (2025)10 d without review; 40 d with review3,321 received (+12%)
TransplantationAmerican Journal of TransplantationElsevierNot published7 d to first decision; 36 d after review
UrologyEuropean UrologyElsevier (EAU)Not published4 d to first decision; 23 d after review
17 stated · 25 not published · 7 not fetchable · selection rule and overrides documented; Wiley-hosted and several society sites block automated capture, so those rows say "not fetchable" rather than "none"
Method

How these numbers were verified

Every statistic on this page was traced to its primary source and quoted from that source's own text: the authors' abstract or full text for journal articles (records retrieved through Europe PMC, PubMed and Crossref; full texts of the 20 September 2026 batch are on file, with page numbers recorded in the ledger), the report PDF for industry and survey reports, the journal's own site or annual editorial for acceptance rates, and a direct query of the Crossref API and the Crossref-hosted Retraction Watch CSV for the counts we computed ourselves. Figures that could only be found in secondary roundups, or behind paywalls we could not read, were left out. The verification ledger records the verbatim sentence, DOI or URL, and capture date for each entry.

Last verified 20 September 2026 (AI in peer review, fabricated references and process entries) and 12 September 2026 (all other entries). Journal acceptance rates and vendor prices change; the capture date is stated wherever a figure is time-sensitive. Corrections: use the contact form and cite the statistic ID shown in the ledger.

FAQ

Questions, answered.

Don't see yours? Email us — we read every one.

Sources

References and sources

Every figure on this page is quoted from the primary source listed here. Verification dates are recorded per source.
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